Lease vs Buy Car Calculator

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Compare the total cost of leasing versus buying a car over 3, 5, or 7 years with break-even analysis, resale projections, and interactive charts.

Compare the total cost of leasing versus buying a vehicle over your chosen time horizon. Includes payments, taxes, fees, resale value, mileage overage, and break-even analysis.

Time Horizon
years
Lease
= 5.28% APR
Buy
Advanced Options (Maintenance, Mileage, NPV, Sensitivity)

Compare optimistic/pessimistic scenarios: resale ±10%, rate ±1pp, mileage ±5,000

Lease vs Buy — What's the Difference?

Leasing a car is essentially renting it for a set period. You make monthly payments that cover the vehicle's depreciation and financing costs, then return it at the end of the term. You never own the car and build no equity. Buying means you eventually own the vehicle outright, whether you pay cash or finance it with a loan. Each loan payment builds equity, and at the end you have an asset you can sell or keep driving.

The core trade-off is straightforward: leasing has lower monthly payments but costs you in the long run because you keep paying indefinitely. Buying has higher monthly payments but eventually frees you from payments, and the car retains some resale value. The right choice depends on how long you plan to keep the car, how many miles you drive, how much you value always having a new vehicle, and your financial priorities.

How This Calculator Compares Lease and Buy

This calculator computes the total net cost of each option over your chosen time horizon. For leasing, it calculates the monthly payment from MSRP, selling price, residual value, and money factor, then adds acquisition fees, disposition fees, due-at-signing costs, mileage overage charges, and maintenance. If the horizon exceeds one lease term, it assumes you start a new lease with the same terms (multi-lease cycling).

For buying, it calculates the loan payment (or accounts for the full cash outlay), adds taxes, fees, and maintenance, then subtracts the estimated resale value at the end of the horizon. The remaining loan balance, if any, is also factored in. The option with the lower net cost wins. The calculator also computes the break-even resale percentage — the resale value at which both options cost exactly the same — and optionally runs sensitivity analysis across optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.

Key Assumptions That Change the Result

Resale value is the single most important variable for buying. A car that holds its value well (like a Toyota or Honda) makes buying significantly cheaper over time. A car that depreciates steeply (like many luxury European sedans) may favor leasing. Estimate conservatively and use the sensitivity feature to test different scenarios.

Interest rates matter for both options. The money factor on a lease and the APR on a loan determine financing costs. In a high-rate environment, leasing can be cheaper if manufacturer-subsidized money factors are available. In a low-rate environment, buying with a cheap loan often wins. Use our loan calculator to compare different financing scenarios.

Mileage affects both sides. Leases have strict mileage limits with steep overage charges ($0.15-$0.30/mile). High-mileage drivers almost always do better buying, where extra miles reduce resale value gradually rather than triggering per-mile penalties. If you drive more than 15,000 miles per year, buying is usually the better choice.

Maintenance costs favor leasing in the early years (the car is under warranty) but favor buying over longer horizons where the car is fully paid off. Time horizon is critical: 3 years often favors leasing, while 5-7+ years typically favors buying. The discount rate (for NPV) matters for cash buyers who could invest the money elsewhere.

Lease vs Buy Examples (Realistic Scenarios)

1. Economy Car, Low Mileage — Lease Wins

Honda Civic, $27,000 MSRP. Lease: $25,500 selling, 36 mo, 60% residual, MF 0.0015, $595 acq fee. Buy: $25,500, $2,500 down, 5.9% APR, 60 mo. 3-year horizon, 10,000 mi/yr. Lease net cost: ~$12,800. Buy net cost: ~$15,200. Lease saves ~$2,400 because the car has a high residual and low money factor.

2. SUV, High Mileage — Buy Wins

Toyota RAV4, $35,000 MSRP. Lease: 36 mo, 55% residual, MF 0.0022, 12,000 mi/yr allowance. Buy: $33,000, $3,000 down, 6.5% APR, 60 mo. 5-year horizon, 18,000 mi/yr. Lease incurs $4,500 in mileage overage plus 2 lease cycles. Buy net: ~$19,000 (high mileage reduces resale to ~35%). Buy saves ~$6,000+ because mileage overage devastates the lease option.

3. Luxury Sedan, 3-Year Only — Lease Wins

BMW 3 Series, $48,000 MSRP. Lease: $45,000 selling, 36 mo, 56% residual, MF 0.0018 (subsidized). Buy: $45,000, $5,000 down, 6.9% APR, 60 mo. 3-year horizon, 12,000 mi/yr. Lease net: ~$20,500. Buy net: ~$24,800 (heavy depreciation on luxury cars). Lease saves ~$4,300 because luxury cars depreciate steeply and manufacturers subsidize lease rates.

4. Used Car Option — Buy Wins Strongly

3-year-old Honda Accord, $22,000 purchase price. Buy: $2,000 down, 7.0% APR, 48 mo. 5-year horizon. Resale at 8 years old: ~$9,000 (41%). New Accord lease: $28,000 selling, 36 mo, MF 0.0020, 2 cycles needed for 5 years. Buy net: ~$15,800. Lease net: ~$22,500. Buying used saves ~$6,700 because used cars have slower depreciation curves.

5. High Interest Rate Environment — Lease May Win

Hyundai Tucson, $33,000 MSRP. Market loan APR: 9.5%. Manufacturer lease MF: 0.0020 (4.8% APR equivalent, subsidized). Lease: 36 mo, 55% residual. Buy: $31,000, $3,000 down, 9.5% APR, 60 mo. 5-year horizon. The subsidized money factor gives leasing a financing advantage. Lease saves ~$3,100 when the rate gap is large enough.

6. Low Depreciation Vehicle — Buy Wins

Toyota Tacoma, $38,000 MSRP. Known for holding value: 65% residual after 3 years, ~50% after 5 years. Lease: 36 mo, 65% residual, MF 0.0023. Buy: $36,000, $4,000 down, 6.5% APR, 60 mo. 5-year horizon. Buy net: ~$17,500 (strong resale offsets total cost). Lease net: ~$19,800 (two cycles). Buy saves ~$2,300 because you capture the high resale value.

7. High Depreciation Vehicle — Lease Wins

Maserati Ghibli, $80,000 MSRP. Steep depreciation: ~40% residual after 3 years, ~25% after 5 years. Lease: 36 mo, 42% residual, MF 0.0028. Buy: $76,000, $10,000 down, 7.0% APR, 60 mo. 5-year horizon. Buy net: ~$60,000+ (massive depreciation loss). Lease net: ~$48,000 (two cycles). Lease saves ~$12,000+ because you avoid catastrophic depreciation.

8. Cash Buyer with Investment Alternative

Tesla Model 3, $42,000. Cash purchase, no loan. Assume 7% annual return on invested capital (discount rate). 5-year horizon, 50% resale. Without opportunity cost: buy net ~$24,000. With 7% discount rate applied, the NPV of cash outflows is ~$27,500 for buying vs ~$23,000 for leasing. Result depends on opportunity cost — cash buyers should factor in what their money could earn elsewhere.

9. Short Commute, Weekend Driver — Lease Wins

Mazda CX-5, $32,000 MSRP. Only 6,000 mi/yr. Lease: 36 mo, 62% residual, MF 0.0019, 10,000 mi/yr allowance (plenty of buffer). Buy: $30,000, $3,000 down, 6.5% APR, 60 mo. 3-year horizon. Lease net: ~$11,500. Buy net: ~$13,800. Lease saves ~$2,300 because low mileage keeps the lease clean with no overage risk and a high residual.

10. Family Car, Long Ownership — Buy Wins

Honda CR-V, $35,000 MSRP. Plan to keep 7 years. Buy: $33,000, $4,000 down, 6.0% APR, 60 mo. Resale at 7 years: ~35%. Lease: would require 2-3 lease cycles at 36 mo each. Buy net over 7 years: ~$24,500 (2 years payment-free, then sell for ~$11,500). Lease net: ~$32,000+ (rolling lease costs). Buy saves ~$7,500 because the last 2 years are payment-free and you capture resale value.

When Leasing Makes Sense

When Buying Makes Sense

FAQ

Is it cheaper to lease or buy a car?
It depends on your situation, time horizon, and driving habits. For short ownership periods (3 years), leasing often wins because you avoid the steepest depreciation and pay lower monthly amounts. For long-term ownership (5+ years), buying typically wins because the car is paid off but still has residual value. This calculator compares total net cost for your specific scenario.
How does this calculator compare leasing and buying?
It computes the total cost of each option over your chosen time horizon. For leasing, it calculates monthly payments from the MSRP, selling price, residual, and money factor, then adds fees, taxes, maintenance, and mileage overage. For buying, it calculates loan payments (or cash outlay), taxes, fees, and maintenance, then subtracts the resale value. The lower net cost wins.
What is residual value in a lease?
Residual value is the predicted worth of the vehicle at lease end, expressed as a percentage of MSRP. It is set by the leasing company and determines how much depreciation you pay. A higher residual means less depreciation and lower monthly payments. For example, a $35,000 car with 58% residual has a residual value of $20,300.
What is a money factor?
A money factor is the leasing equivalent of an interest rate, expressed as a small decimal like 0.0022. It determines the finance charge portion of your lease payment. The rent charge equals (adjusted cap cost + residual value) multiplied by the money factor. A lower money factor means lower financing costs.
How do I convert money factor to APR?
Multiply the money factor by 2,400 to get the approximate APR. For example, a money factor of 0.0022 equals roughly 5.28% APR (0.0022 x 2,400 = 5.28). Conversely, divide APR by 2,400 to get the money factor. This is the standard conversion used in the US auto leasing industry.
What happens if I exceed my mileage allowance?
You pay excess mileage charges when you return the leased car. The rate is specified in your contract, typically $0.15 to $0.30 per mile over the allowance. On a 36-month lease, driving 5,000 miles/year over the limit at $0.25/mile adds $3,750 to your total cost. This calculator factors overage costs into the comparison automatically.
What is the break-even resale value?
The break-even resale value is the percentage of the purchase price you would need to sell the car for at the end of the horizon to make buying exactly as expensive as leasing. If the actual resale value is above this percentage, buying wins. If it is below, leasing wins. It helps you assess how sensitive the result is to depreciation estimates.
How does the time horizon affect the comparison?
A shorter horizon (3 years) often favors leasing because it avoids high depreciation costs and keeps payments predictable. A longer horizon (5-7+ years) often favors buying because the car is eventually paid off while still retaining some value. The calculator accounts for multiple lease cycles if your horizon exceeds one lease term.
Should I include maintenance costs?
Yes. Maintenance is typically lower during a lease because the car is new and under warranty. After the warranty expires (usually 3-4 years), maintenance costs rise for a purchased car. Including realistic maintenance estimates makes the comparison more accurate. Use the Advanced Options section to set annual maintenance for each option.
What is cap cost reduction?
Cap cost reduction is a down payment on a lease that reduces the capitalized cost (the amount you are financing). It lowers your monthly payment but does not reduce the total financing cost proportionally. Financial experts often advise against large down payments on leases because the money is at risk if the car is totaled early.
What fees are involved in leasing?
Common lease fees include: acquisition fee ($595-$1,095) charged at signing, disposition fee ($300-$500) charged at lease end if you return the car, and documentation fees ($100-$400). Some fees can be capitalized into the lease. This calculator includes acquisition and disposition fees in the total cost comparison.
How does sales tax work for leasing vs buying?
In most US states, sales tax on a lease is applied to the monthly payment, not the full vehicle price. When buying, tax is applied to the full purchase price. This means leasing has a tax advantage in most states. Some states (like Texas and Virginia) tax the full lease value upfront. This calculator applies tax as specified for each option.
Can I negotiate the money factor?
The base money factor is set by the manufacturer, but dealers can mark it up for extra profit. Always ask for the base money factor from the manufacturer and negotiate back to that rate. You cannot typically negotiate below the manufacturer rate. Getting quotes from multiple dealers helps ensure you are not paying a marked-up rate.
What is a disposition fee?
A disposition fee is charged by the leasing company when you return the vehicle at lease end. It covers the cost of inspecting, reconditioning, and reselling the car. The fee typically ranges from $300 to $500 and is specified in your lease contract. You can avoid it by purchasing the car at lease end or by leasing another vehicle from the same manufacturer.
How accurate is the resale value estimate?
Resale value is the most uncertain variable in the comparison. Estimates from guides like KBB or Edmunds are reasonable starting points, but actual resale depends on condition, mileage, market demand, and economic conditions. Use the sensitivity analysis feature to see how changes in resale value affect the result.
What if I want to buy my leased car at the end?
You can purchase the leased car for the residual value plus any purchase fees. This makes sense if the market value exceeds the residual (you get a bargain) or if you love the car and want to avoid excess mileage and wear charges. Factor in that you will have already paid lease payments without building equity.
How does a down payment affect the comparison?
For buying, a larger down payment reduces your loan amount and total interest. For leasing, a down payment (cap cost reduction) lowers your monthly payment but puts money at risk. In the comparison, the down payment affects total cash outflow and financing costs differently for each option.
Is leasing better for luxury cars?
Luxury cars often have subsidized lease rates (lower money factors) and higher residual values from manufacturers, making lease payments relatively attractive. They also depreciate heavily in absolute dollar terms, which means buying and selling at a loss can be very expensive. Leasing lets you drive a luxury car for the cost of depreciation plus financing.
What about gap insurance for leases?
GAP (Guaranteed Asset Protection) insurance covers the difference between what you owe on the lease and the car's market value if it is totaled or stolen. Most leases include GAP coverage at no extra cost, which is an advantage over buying. If your lease does not include it, adding it is strongly recommended.
How does mileage affect total cost?
Mileage affects both options. For leasing, exceeding the allowance triggers overage charges ($0.15-$0.30/mile). For buying, higher mileage reduces resale value. This calculator includes mileage overage for leasing and lets you adjust the resale percentage for buying based on your expected mileage.
What is the opportunity cost of a cash purchase?
When you pay cash for a car, that money cannot be invested elsewhere. If you could earn 5-7% annually on investments, paying $33,000 cash has a significant opportunity cost over 5 years. Use the discount rate in Advanced Options to account for the time value of money. This is why some wealthy buyers still prefer to lease or finance.
Should I lease if I change cars every 3 years?
If you consistently want a new car every 3 years, leasing is often more cost-effective than buying and selling repeatedly. Each buy-sell cycle involves transaction costs (taxes, fees, dealer markup on purchase, wholesale discount on sale). Leasing eliminates the resale hassle and provides predictable costs.
What are the tax advantages of leasing vs buying?
For personal use, leasing has a tax advantage in most states because sales tax is applied to monthly payments rather than the full price. For business use, lease payments may be fully deductible as a business expense, while purchased vehicles must be depreciated over several years. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
How does credit score affect lease vs buy?
A higher credit score qualifies you for lower money factors (leasing) and lower APRs (buying). With a score below 680, both lease and loan rates increase significantly, and the gap between options may narrow. Some lease deals require 720+ credit. With poor credit, buying an affordable used car with a reasonable loan may be more practical than leasing.
What is the total cost of ownership (TCO)?
TCO includes everything you spend on a vehicle over the ownership period: purchase price or lease payments, financing costs, taxes, fees, insurance, maintenance, fuel, and depreciation. This calculator focuses on the financial comparison (payments, fees, taxes, maintenance, depreciation/resale) but does not include insurance or fuel, which are roughly similar for both options on the same car.